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对比阅读:DeepSeek 284B Hits 31 tok/s on Single GPU — Local LLMs' Hidden Inflection Point 与 DeepSeek 284B 单卡跑到 31 tok/s — 本地大模型的隐性拐点

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DeepSeekSpeculative DecodingNVIDIA·

DeepSeek 284B Hits 31 tok/s on Single GPU — Local LLMs' Hidden Inflection Point

What this is

This week, a developer on r/LocalLLaMA ran DeepSeek V4 Flash 284B — a ~284-billion-parameter Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture large model (the model internally splits into multiple "expert" sub-networks and activates them on demand) — on a single RTX PRO 6000 (96GB VRAM). The 144GB model wouldn't fit on one card, so 21 layers of experts were placed on the GPU and 19 layers in memory, then stacked with a technique called DSpark "speculative decoding": a small model guesses several tokens first, and the main model verifies them in batch. Best coding-scenario speed hit 31 tok/s (smallest generated language units per second) — roughly 15–17% faster than without the technique.

The most interesting finding: that 10GB auxiliary small model placed in regular DDR5 memory ran 4.4% faster than in expensive VRAM. The reason is that VRAM pays off most when reserved for the "main model" — the small model is only called occasionally, while the main model is needed at every step.

Industry view

Supporters see this as a milestone for open-source LLMs going local: a single workstation GPU can now run near-frontier models, meaning enterprises building their own AI no longer need to stack GPU clusters, and cloud providers' compute pricing power is quietly being eroded.

But a word of caution: this is a single-card, single-workload (coding), single-platform test — it does not represent stable, production-grade performance. 31 tok/s is barely adequate for a single user; multi-concurrent scenarios will degrade rapidly. For local deployment to truly replace the cloud, it still needs to solve the old problems of high availability, operations, security, and cost amortization.

Impact on regular people

For enterprise IT: The hardware threshold for self-hosted LLMs is dropping, but we're not yet at "no longer need the cloud" territory. We recommend watching another 6–12 months of real production deployment cases before deciding whether to launch a PoC (proof of concept, a small-scale pilot).

For working professionals: No direct short-term impact — a single card still sits in the $4,000–5,000+ range, and both configuration and maintenance require professional expertise. The indirect effect: pricing leverage for cloud AI services will gradually expand.

For the consumer market: In the long run, falling AI service costs will eventually transmit to SaaS (software subscription service) pricing — but over the next year or two, the change felt by C-end (consumer-side) users will remain limited.

BZH
DeepSeek推测式解码NVIDIA·

DeepSeek 284B 单卡跑到 31 tok/s — 本地大模型的隐性拐点

这是什么

本周 r/LocalLLaMA 一位开发者用单张 RTX PRO 6000(96GB 显存)跑通了 DeepSeek V4 Flash 284B —— 一款参数总量约 2840 亿的混合专家(Mixture of Experts,模型内部拆分成多个"专家"子网络、按需激活)架构大模型。144GB 的模型装不进单卡,于是 21 层专家网络放显卡、19 层放内存,再叠加一种叫 DSpark 的"推测式解码"技巧:让一个小模型先猜几个词,主模型再批量验证。最佳编程场景速度 31 tok/s(每秒生成的最小语言单位),比不用此技巧快约 15–17%。

最有意思的发现:那个 10GB 的辅助小模型放在普通 DDR5 内存里,反而比放在昂贵显存里快 4.4%。原因是显存留给"主模型"才更划算 —— 小模型只是偶尔被调用,主模型每一步都要在。

行业怎么看

支持方认为这是开源大模型走向本地化部署的里程碑:单卡工作站就能跑通接近前沿水平的大模型,意味着企业自建 AI 不再需要堆 GPU 集群,云厂商的算力定价权被悄悄削弱。

但值得警惕的是:这是一次单卡、单工作负载(编程)、单平台的测试,不代表稳定可生产。31 tok/s 对单用户勉强够用,多并发场景会迅速恶化。本地化要真正替代云端,至少还要解决高可用、运维、安全和成本摊销这几个老问题。

对普通人的影响

对企业 IT:自建大模型的硬件门槛在降,但还没到"非云不可"的程度。我们建议再观察 6–12 个月的实际生产部署案例,再决定是否启动 PoC(概念验证,小范围试点)。

对个人职场:短期无直接影响 —— 单卡仍在 4–5 万元区间,配置和维护都需要专业能力。间接影响是:云端 AI 服务的议价空间会逐步扩大。

对消费市场:长期看,AI 服务成本下行最终会传导到 SaaS(软件订阅服务)定价;但近一两年内,C 端(消费者端)用户感受到的变化还很有限。